Falcons quarterback Taylor Heinicke completed just 10 of 29 passes for 163 yards and three interceptions last week, which is one reason why the model has New Orleans covering in well over 50% of simulations.

The Saints have turned things around offensively, scoring at least 22 points in five straight games behind some impressive performances from quarterback Derek Carr. New Orleans has been trending in the opposite direction, winning three of its last four games to stay alive in the NFC South title hunt. The Falcons have only won two of their last 14 road games overall, including a 37-17 loss at Chicago last week. Atlanta has only picked up one road win since the end of October, and it came against the Jets in an ugly game. You can only see the model's Week 18 NFL picks at SportsLine.Īfter simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the New Orleans Saints (-3) to cover at home against the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday afternoon. If you successfully parlay its picks, you'd be looking at a massive payout of around 25-1. Now, the model has locked in five confident NFL best bets for Week 18. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season. The model enters Week 18 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. Before you make any Week 18 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The Packers are 3-point favorites against the Bears in the Week 18 NFL spreads, even though Chicago has won four of its last five games. Green Bay's playoff path is simpler, as it only needs a win to guarantee a spot in the field. Should you back Seattle with your Week 18 NFL parlays? The Seahawks are 2.5-point favorites against the Cardinals in the Week 18 NFL odds from SportsLine consensus. Seattle dropped out of the wild-card picture following a loss to Pittsburgh last week, but it can still make the playoffs with a win over Arizona and a Green Bay loss.

There are four teams outside the current NFC playoff picture that are still alive for a spot in the postseason heading into the Week 18 NFL schedule.

Nfl games week 17 and point spreads